Men's tournament: Lines, totals and BPI projections for Sunday's games

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John's will face the Kansas Jayhawks on Sunday.

Orlando Ramirez/Getty ImagesESPNMultiple AuthorsMar 22, 2026, 07:57 AM ETEmailPrintThe 2026 men's college basketball tournament bracket narrowed to 24 teams after Saturday's action and 16 will remain at the end of Sunday's play.Arizona will play Utah State in a game that may determine who enters next week's action as the tournament favorite
Duke entered the tournament as such before a rough start to its first game against 16-seed Sienna, and Michigan enters today as the new favorite having already secured its spot in the round of 16 with a resounding victory over 8-seeded Saint Louis
Florida, who has had the longest championship odds of any of the No
1 seeds at 8-1, and will play the Hawkeyes.The action begins at 12:10 p.m
Here are the betting lines and BPI projections for all eight games.MORE: Odds for every team to advance, win championship | Second Chance bracketOdds by DraftKings Sportsbook as of latest time stamp and are subject to change.(7) Miami Hurricanes
(2) Purdue Boilermakers -7.5
St
ETMoney line:
Miami Hurricanes +270
Purdue Boilermakers -340
Total: 147.5
Miami: 25-8, 13-5 in ACC play
Purdue: 26-8, 13-7 in Big Ten playBPI projection: Purdue Boilermakers by 7.9 points, straight up 78% of the time(7) Kentucky Wildcats
(2) Iowa State Cyclones -4.5
St
ETMoney line:
Kentucky Wildcats +190
Iowa State Cyclones -230
Total: 145.5
Kentucky: 21-13, 10-8 in SEC play
Iowa State: 27-7, 12-6 in Big 12 playBPI projection: Iowa State Cyclones by 5.5 points, straight up 71% of the time(5) St
John's Red Storm -3.5
(4) Kansas Jayhawks
San Diego, 5:15 p.m
John's Red Storm -166
Kansas Jayhawks +140
Total: 144.5
St
John's: 28-6, 18-2 in Big East play
Kansas: 23-10, 12-6 in Big 12 playBPI projection: St
John's Red Storm by 1.8 points, straight up 57% of the time(6) Tennessee Volunteers -1.5
(3) Virginia Cavaliers
Philadelphia, 6:10 p.m
ETMoney line:
Tennessee Volunteers -118
Virginia Cavaliers -102
Total: 137.5
Tennessee: 22-11, 11-7 in SEC play
Virginia: 29-5, 15-3 in ACC playBPI projection: Tennessee Volunteers by 2.7 points, straight up 61% of the time(9) Iowa Hawkeyes
(1) Florida Gators -10.5
Tampa, Florida, 7:10 p.m
ETMoney line:
Iowa Hawkeyes +440
Florida Gators -600
Total: 145.5
Iowa: 21-12, 10-10 in Big Ten play
Florida: 26-7, 16-2 in SEC playBPI projection: Florida Gators by 8.1 points, straight up 79% of the time(9) Utah State Aggies
(1) Arizona Wildcats -11.5
San Diego, 7:50 p.m
ETMoney line:
Utah State Aggies +550
Arizona Wildcats -800
Total: 154.5
Utah State: 28-6, 15-5 in MW play
Arizona: 32-2, 16-2 in Big 12 playBPI projection: Arizona Wildcats by 9.9 points, straight up 83% of the time(7) UCLA Bruins
(2) UConn Huskies -4.5
Philadelphia, 8:45 p.m
ETMoney line:
UCLA Bruins +164
UConn Huskies -198
Total: 137.5
UCLA: 23-11, 13-7 in Big Ten play
Uconn: 29-5, 17-3 in Big East playBPI projection: UConn Huskies by 4.3 points, straight up 67% of the time(5) Texas Tech Red Raiders -1.5
(4) Alabama Crimson Tide
Tampa, Florida, 9:45 p.m
ETMoney line:
Texas Tech Red Raiders -118
Alabama Crimson Tide -102
Total: 164.5
Texas Tech: 22-10, 12-6 in Big 12 play
Alabama: 23-9, 13-5 in SEC playBPI projection: Alabama Crimson Tide by 1 points, straight up 54% of the timeThe College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward
BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is
Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team's W-L record is to achieve
Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day's rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections
ESPN Men's College Basketball Tournament BPI >>