Today's top games to watch, best bets, odds: Lakers-Rockets, Golden Knights-Mammoth and more

Find best bets and props for the biggest games in sports on Friday from the SportsLine Projection Model and top CBS Sports experts
LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers find themselves on perilous ground Friday when they visit the Houston Rockets in their third attempt to close out their NBA playoff first-round series.

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However, the younger Rockets took advantage of a weary Lakers club in Game 4 and rolled to a 115-96 win to stave off elimination before using a defense-oriented effort to force 15 turnovers and hold the Lakers to 42% shooting in the 99-93 Game 5 victory.

Austin Reaves , who averaged 23.3 points in the regular season (second on the team), returned from a nine-game injury absence for Los Angeles in Game 5.

He scored 22 points but was just 4-of-16 from the field.

Meanwhile, star Luka Doncic remains sidelined indefinitely because of a hamstring injury.

Although Durant is still out for the Rockets, they have found production from versatile big man Alperen Sengun , who is averaging 21 points, 10 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game.

Four other Rockets are averaging at least 12.6 points, led by guard Amen Thompson at 19.4 ppg.

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In addition to this NBA matchup, we'll take a look at an NHL playoff elimination game and a late MLB contest.

Here are the games to watch for Friday, May 1.

All times Eastern.

Time: 9:30 p.m.

| Location: Houston | TV: Prime Video | Stream: Fubo (Try for free)
SportsLine pick -- Model: Over 205.5
The SportsLine Projection Model has an ever-so-slight lean on the Rockets against the spread, but it sees this contest falling right near the number most of the time so there is not enough of an edge to recommend a confident play.

However, the model's 10,000-game simulation produced an average score of 108-104 in favor of the Rockets, resulting in a strong play on the Over 205.5 points.

This is an extremely modest total even by NBA playoff standards, but one the teams have clipped just once in regulation in the four non-overtime games.

Oddsmakers anticipate another low-scoring, grinding affair, but the model sees just enough offensive output to carry the total Over.

The model projects the Over hitting about 61% of the time in comparison to the implied sportsbook odds of around 52%.

Time: 9:40 p.m.

| Location: San Diego | TV: MLB.TV | Stream: Fubo (Try for free)
SportsLine pick -- Model: Padres -150
German Marquez (3-1, 4.38 ERA) who has won three of his past four outings and pitched a scoreless no-decision in the other, is set to take the mound for San Diego.

He is opposed by rookie lefty Noah Schultz (1-1 3.52) for the White Sox, whose 13-13 finish in April was their first month at .500 or better since June 2023.

The SportsLine Projection Model offers a fairly confident play on the Padres as a moderate favorite at -150.

Its forecasted win rate for San Diego of 65% is greater than the sportsbook implied odds of 60%.

Time: 10 p.m.

| Location: Salt Lake City | TV: ESPN | Stream: Fubo (Try for free)
SportsLine pick -- Model: Mammoth -106
Oddsmakers have this elimination game priced with about pick'em odds on both sides but the model leans toward the Mammoth, who are 23-16-4 at the Delta Center this season.

The model's 10,000-game simulation sees Utah winning about 60% of the time, a value window compared to implied sportsbook odds of about 52%.